Domestic steel city appears go up motivation is abate evidence:

To the price of market of domestic steel products the data that monitor shows, end in July the middle ten days of a month, the price case of product of each breed rolled steel is market of domestic steel products: Average price of whole nation of 25MM whorl steel 5487 yuan / ton, than last year the corresponding period rises 1975 yuan / ton, than June the corresponding period drops 65 yuan / ton; Average price of whole nation of 6.5MM tall line 5842 yuan / ton, than last year the corresponding period rises 2227 yuan / ton, than June the corresponding period drops 91 yuan / ton; 3.0MM hot-rolling board roll 6058 yuan / ton, than last year the corresponding period rises 2168 yuan / ton, than June the corresponding period rises 40 yuan / ton; 1.0MM is cold board 7251 yuan / ton, than last year the corresponding period rises 2429 yuan / ton, than June the corresponding period drops 53 yuan / ton. Rolled steel market is close the moving contrail since a month, present a perch apparently dish whole reach below to adjusted feature, investigate its are deep of administrative levels reason, the author thinks main related to the following element:

1, suffer the United States sub the market that borrows the crisis and global economy growth to put delay expects an impact, demand of rolled steel abroad will appear to put delay sign certainly June. Accumulative total of rolled steel of 1-6 month China exports 26.94 million tons, drop compared to the same period 20.2% , will export a quantity to finish 5.22 million tons June among them, than will speaking a volume May 5.56 million tons reduce 340 thousand tons, with photograph of the corresponding period was compared last year reduce 1.14 million tons, drop compared to the same period 17.9% . Numerous analysis orgnaization thinks before this, the possibility that exit will continue to go tall considerably June is very large, the country publishs rolled steel to export custom duty to adjust policy to come likely exit of keep within limits continues to rebound, but statistical result however besides unexpected. Still put in vast difference in price of domestic and international rolled steel (the balance limits that quoted price of domestic Shanghai market and abroad will quote June is in 130-592 dollar / ton between) below premise, exit appears however self-correcting, annulus compares atrophic trend, can take only abroad is consumed or demand inadequacy explains;

2, like foreign demand, demand of domestic steel products also appears the evidence putting delay of different level. The equilibrium point when the market goes completely quiet decides the market value of any products. Price of steel products of home of all through the ages is quoted to the market by steelworks first, form the market to trade actually through motion of supply demand relations next the price. When downstream product market superfluous aggravate, profit margin drops when, upriver cost tries to be delivered can encounter “ boycotts ” downstream, downstream perhaps factory cannot continue to manage go down and shut by oneself, bring about quantity of total demand to drop thereby. From near future home the short-term trend of real estate of industry of steel of main bad news and automobile industry looks, appeared the “ that the price conducts cuts off ” . The beginning of the year is special since 2 quarters, domestic estate market has appeared superfluous reach inflection point evidence, the price appears below superfluous aggravate condition certain level glides; With estate market likeness, automobile manufacturing industry encounters rolled steel rises in price not only pressure, and still encounter international crude price rises continuously, make put the pressure that the domestic potential demand that be in disappears gradually originally thereby, can move toward whole finally only superfluous, bring about market competition aggravate, price to glide to drop with profit, cannot accept the price that comes from upper reaches to conduct. Market of the two large trades that use steel is superfluous posture is current rolled steel price cannot the main factor of successful marry again;
Previous12 Next